Wall Street futures moved higher on Monday morning in Sydenham after the major US averages ended last week in a tickled green a mood thanks to a weaker-than-expected jobs report.
Via Fox
The somewhat ideal-for-the-moment jobs data revivified Wall Street dreams of a US Federal Reserve pulling out the interest rate scissors sooner than later.
The nonfarm payroll catalyst on Friday added fewer-than-expected jobs in April and an increase in unemployment, easing fears of an overheating economy.
Traders became enthusiastic that the Fed could start lowering rates sooner this year. As the rain fell in Sydney, the rainmakers fell upon the broader US market index and the Dow Jones hearty buying ensuring both indices enjoyed their best days in about 10 weeks.
The punchy end to last week saw the Dow and Nasdaq rise 1.1% and 1.4% each, while the S&P 500 gained 0.5%.
Shares of Apple surged 6% on Friday as investors gawked at a little-bit-better-than-expected Q2 and the spectacle of a scene-stealing biggest stock buyback plan in actual corporate history.
Apple shares heading into the report were down 10% on the year, a clear sign the street expected a mealy mouthful of China-thwacked numbers. And while Apple’s quarter was pretty bad – sales evenue was down 4% from this time a year-ago (a 5th revenue fall out of the last six quarters) – it was better than feared.
Mathematically, Apple’s US$110 billion stock buyback should support the slipping stock price by adding buying pressure to the market and, by slashing shares available, should lift EPS (earnings per share).
On a related note, in its Q1 earnings report released Saturday, Berkshire Hathaway reported that its Apple bet was worth $135.4 billion, implying around 790 million shares.
That amounts to a hefty 13% slash and burn in the Oracle’s stake. Apple was still Berkshire’s biggest holding by far at the end of the quarter.
The jobs data boosted rate-sensitive megacap tech – let’s run through them for the newbies – Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Meta Platforms (META), Microsoft (MSFT), Nvidia (NVDA) and Tesla (TSLA).
On Friday it was NVDA and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) ahead over 3%, while MSFT and META found circa 2%.
Elsewhere, the biotech Amgen (AMGN) notched its best day since 2009, closing nearly 12% the better after posting better-than-expected earnings and tantalising with an update on its experimental obesity drug.
The week also closed out two days of closing arguments around whether Google exploited its market dominance to unlawfully squeeze out internet search competitors in the US government’s landmark we-antitrust-you District court case against Google.
US District Judge Amit Mehta implied he might make a call on this in the weeks to come, saying that the “importance and significance of this case is not lost on me, not only for Google but for the public”.
There’s been 10 weeks of testimony from more than 50 witnesses, including Sundar Pichai, CEO of Google and its parent company, Alphabet.
The week ahead on Wall St
Wall Street will get a slight amount of relief next week as both the economic calendar and the first quarter earnings season will lighten up somewhat.
It will be quieter on the Western macro, after a busy week with the Federal Reserve decision and the hoopla around jobs data.
Market punters will be looking ahead to Monday’s senior loan officer opinion survey from the Federal Reserve to assess credit conditions in the economy. Also in focus will be Friday’s University of Michigan preliminary consumer sentiment data for May.
Meanwhile, some of the spotlight will be back on the clever pips at Apple, which rolls out a special iPad event on Tuesday.
US earnings to watch this week
For all the angst, US March quarter earnings remain pretty decent.
80% of S&P 500 companies have reported so far and the good news is that 79% have beaten expectations, against a norm of 76%.
Earnings growth expectations for the quarter have increased to 8.3% yoy, from 4.1% three weeks ago and seem likely to end around +10% yoy, according to AMP data.
Heaps of the big US corporates, including members of the “Magnificent 7” have already reported.
Still, a full-on 56 S&P500 companies report earnings this week, including biggies like Star Wars owner Disney (DIS), Roblox owner Roblox (RBLX), Dropbox owner Dropbox (DBX), AMC Entertainment (AMC) and buddy AMC Networks (AMCX) and the ride-hailing juggernaut Uber (UBER).
Monday
Tyson Foods (TSN), Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX), Palantir (PLTR), and Realty Income (O)
Tuesday
Disney (DIS), McKesson (MCK), Ferrari (RACE), GlobalFoundries (GFS), Coupang (CPNG), Electronic Arts (EA), Rivian Automotive (RIVN), and Datadog (DDOG)
Wednesday
Uber Technologies (UBER), Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD), Airbnb (ABNB), Shopify (SHOP), Arm (ARM), Energy Transfer (ET), Trade Desk (TTD), Beyond Meat (BYND), Affirm (AFRM), and AMC Entertainment (AMC)
Thursday
Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD), US Foods (USFD), Hyatt Hotels (H), Roblox (RBLX), Dropbox (DBX), and Genpact (G)
Friday
AMC Networks (AMCX) and Enbridge (ENB)
The Economic Calendar
Monday May 6 – Friday May 10
MONDAY
CN Caixin Services PMI
ID GDP Growth Rate
TUESDAY
US Fed Barkin Speech
US Fed Williams Speech
BR S&P Global Services PMI APR
JP Jibun Bank Services PMI Final APR
GB S&P Global Construction PMI APR
EA Retail Sales MoM MAR
WEDNESDAY
US RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index MAY
US Fedspeak Kashkari
US API Crude Oil Stock Change MAY
THURSDAY
US EIA Gasoline Stocks Change MAY
US Fedspeak Jefferson
US 10-Year Note Auction
US Fedspeak Cook
BR Interest Rate Decision
JP BoJ Summary of Opinions
CN Balance of Trade
GB BoE Interest Rate Decision
US Initial Jobless Claims
FRIDAY
JP Current Account MAR
GB GDP MAR
CN Current Account Prel Q1
EU ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts
BR Inflation Rate
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