{"id":9894,"date":"2024-05-20T18:20:22","date_gmt":"2024-05-20T18:20:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economicherald.net\/?p=9894"},"modified":"2024-05-20T18:20:24","modified_gmt":"2024-05-20T18:20:24","slug":"irans-presidential-succession-what-comes-next","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economicherald.net\/?p=9894","title":{"rendered":"Iran\u2019s Presidential Succession: What Comes Next?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The sudden death of Iran\u2019s President Ebrahim Raisi has plunged the nation into a state of uncertainty. Raisi, seen as a potential successor to the Supreme Leader, was killed in a helicopter crash, leaving Iran&#8217;s political landscape in turmoil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Immediate Power Transition<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In the wake of Raisi\u2019s death, power has been transferred to Mohammad Mokhber, Raisi\u2019s vice president, who was approved as acting president by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Sanam Vakil of Chatham House noted Mokhber is &#8220;close to the IRGC, close to the levers of power,&#8221; and is expected to maintain a &#8220;business as usual&#8221; approach. Despite this, the country is legally required to hold elections within 50 days, a process likely to be hastily organized with poor voter turnout. As Trita Parsi of the Quincy Institute stated, \u201cThe population has by and large lost faith in the idea that change can come through the ballot box.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Challenges Facing the Elections<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The upcoming elections are anticipated to see minimal participation, mirroring the record low turnout in March&#8217;s elections for parliament and the Assembly of Experts. This election also excluded more moderate politicians, further solidifying the hardline control. Parsi pointed out, &#8220;Real alternatives to Iran\u2019s hardliners have simply not been allowed to stand for office in the last few elections.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Long-Term Implications and Succession Crisis<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Raisi\u2019s death has intensified the already opaque discussions about who will succeed the aging Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Karim Sadjadpour from the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace called it \u201ca succession crisis in Iran.\u201d The Assembly of Experts, responsible for selecting the Supreme Leader, has become increasingly hardline, making the process even more contentious. Some speculate about Khamenei\u2019s son, Mojtaba, as a potential successor, though this would significantly shift from the republic&#8217;s principles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Impact on Foreign Relations<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Raisi\u2019s tenure saw a significant shift in Iran&#8217;s foreign relations, including a rapprochement with Saudi Arabia. However, his death will unlikely alter the regime\u2019s foreign policy, which the Supreme Leader controls. Mohammad Ali Shabani, editor of Amwaj.The media emphasized, &#8220;We will see continuity in how Iran approaches the regional files and collaboration with regional allies.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Potential for Change in the Upcoming Election<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite the hardline dominance, some experts believe the upcoming election could be a turning point. Shabani highlighted that the Supreme Leader values voter turnout as a measure of legitimacy. \u201cIf the Supreme Leader chooses to use these early elections as a watershed moment to open up the political space, to get people to vote again, that could be a massive game-changer.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Iran\u2019s political future remains uncertain following Raisi\u2019s death. With immediate power transferred to Mokhber and elections on the horizon, the country faces a critical juncture that could reshape its political and social landscape.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The sudden death of Iran\u2019s President Ebrahim Raisi has plunged the nation into a state of uncertainty. Raisi, seen as a potential successor to the <a href=\"https:\/\/economicherald.net\/?p=9894\" class=\"read-more-link\">[more&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9895,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[2175,941,1436,2177,937,2173,2172,2176,2171,2174],"class_list":["post-9894","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-world","tag-assembly-of-experts","tag-ebrahim-raisi","tag-elections","tag-foreign-policy","tag-iran","tag-irgc","tag-mohammad-mokhber","tag-succession-crisis","tag-supreme-leader","tag-voter-turnout"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Iran\u2019s Presidential Succession: What Comes Next? - Economic Herald<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/economicherald.net\/?p=9894\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Iran\u2019s Presidential Succession: What Comes Next? - Economic Herald\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The sudden death of Iran\u2019s President Ebrahim Raisi has plunged the nation into a state of uncertainty. 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