{"id":9684,"date":"2024-05-15T06:20:11","date_gmt":"2024-05-15T06:20:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economicherald.net\/?p=9684"},"modified":"2024-05-15T06:20:11","modified_gmt":"2024-05-15T06:20:11","slug":"monsters-of-rock-and-today-on-bhp-watch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economicherald.net\/?p=9684","title":{"rendered":"Monsters of Rock: And today on BHP watch \u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>Anglo American\u2019s decision to demerge some of the same businesses BHP has already proposed to cull could play into the big miner\u2019s hands in $65bn takeover tussle<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>South32 says push for green metals is already starting in Europe in shift to bifurcated aluminium market<\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>Madeleine King cranks up PR machine on Labor critical minerals and hydrogen strategy amid \u2018billions for billionaires\u2019 criticism<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Anglo American\u2019s refusal of <a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/bhp-bhp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>BHP (ASX:BHP)<\/strong><\/a> and its takeover bid took yet another turn last night as the London listed target offered to emaciate itself in a bid to ward off its hunter.<\/p>\n<p>BHP dearly wants its copper assets. Anglo\u2019s coal mines are also a handy addition for the world\u2019s biggest miner, effectively connecting the five operations it already runs in Queensland\u2019s Bowen Basin.<\/p>\n<p>Including the Grosvenor mine, those will be the most attractive assets sold as part of a slimming plan from Anglo, which will keep its copper and iron ore and jettison basically everything else, selling its diamond and nickel businesses and shunting its platinum operations into a demerged entity. A potash development in the UK part owned by Gina Rinehart will also be \u2018slowed down\u2019 with Anglo to assess its capital needs next year.<\/p>\n<p>Nothing is committed for 2026.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s all eerily similar to BHP\u2019s plan, which includes the demerger of Anglo\u2019s Kumba iron ore and platinum divisions, with the added bonus of inviting the vultures of private equity and pure play coal to pick apart at its meaty bones.<\/p>\n<p>Grosvenor, Moranbah North, Capcoal and Dawson produce between them a similar quantity of steelmaking coal to the Daunia and Blackwater mines sold by BHP to <a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/whitehaven-coal\/\"><strong>Whitehaven Coal (ASX:WHC)<\/strong><\/a> this year for up to US$4.1 ($6.4b).<\/p>\n<p>In response BHP\u2019s shares were up 2.43% this morning, with some market watchers musing that BHP (as well as Whitehaven, Peabody, Stanmore and a host of other coal believers) could well make a play for the coal assets alone.<\/p>\n<p>Finding it super amusing that many assume BHP will not bid for Anglo American\u2019s met coal assets<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Anglo coal assets highly synergistic with existing BMA assets. Will provide BHP an unreplicable position in some of the world\u2019s best met coal assets.<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 BMA has already divested\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Emanuel Ajay Datt (@eadatt) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/eadatt\/status\/1790526892656976193?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 14, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\nAt the same time, BHP may be feeling that Anglo\u2019s strategy will play right into its hands, even if an early drop gave way to a 1.4% gain for the London listed miner last night, coming a day after it rejected a $64.5b bid from its suitor.<\/p>\n<p>Wood Mackenzie\u2019s James Whiteside said the plan from Anglo to split itself and demerge the politically sensitive AmPlats business in South Africa could lend credibility to plans BHP has already expounded.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>Henry on the offensive<\/h2>\n<p>The Anglo-Ozempic plan was well-timed for BHP CEO Mike Henry, who had the perfect soapbox at the Bank of America global metals, mining and steel conference last night.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cShareholders were calling for it previously, brokers have called for it, it\u2019s included in our proposal, and you see some variants on it today in the alternative plan,\u201d Henry said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSo we actually believe that this is fully executable. In terms of spinouts we have previously spun our South32, our petroleum business, Anglo themselves have spun Thungela, Mondi and AngloGold.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSo that path towards spinning businesses out is relatively clear and there\u2019s a long track record of being able to do that successfully.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Henry claimed the first thing he did after its private discussions with the Anglo board were \u2018leaked\u2019 was go to South Africa to ensure its decisions to not want Kumba iron ore or AmPlats were not about the jurisdiction.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI\u2019ve been clear iron ore is not a commodity that we\u2019re looking at for major growth \u2013 we\u2019ll look for incremental growth, low-capital investment and so on in the existing business, but it\u2019s not a business that we see as being one of the core growth pillars for us going forward,\u201d Henry said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAnd so when we look at the South African asset in particular, where there\u2019s no synergies in terms of existing BHP businesses, it was clear that you\u2019ve got a ready-made solution here, given that these two companies are listed.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe pretty clear and better approach from our perspective was to spin these two businesses out and then BHP is offering a very significant premium for the currently unlisted assets.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Henry said it was \u2018ultimately for shareholders to just what they\u2019ve heard\u2019.<\/p>\n<p>Indeed.<\/p>\n<h2>Europe goes green as metal producers feel pressure<\/h2>\n<p>Also hanging around the conference in Miami, <a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/south32-s32\/\"><strong>South32 (ASX:S32)<\/strong><\/a> boss Graham Kerr has laid out the challenges ahead for smelter operators, saying they will need to go green to sell into non-Chinese jurisdictions.<\/p>\n<p>With the bulk of its emissions generated at the Hillside aluminium smelter in South Africa, where it draws power from Eskom\u2019s coal dominated grid, Kerr says the energy transitioning miner is seeing the effect of green metal demand.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe other dynamic is if growth comes outside of China, you\u2019re actually seeing a consumer drive at the moment not necessarily driven by regulatory requirements, but some of the key customers are already talked to us about their preference for green metal,\u201d Kerr said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSo we\u2019re seeing that at Hillside today, where we\u2019ve had to move some of our sales from Europe into basically the US because the Europeans are far more discerning on where they\u2019re actually buying the material from.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSo we do believe that next stage of \u2026 smelter developments will probably occur in Indonesia or Malaysia, but for it to be competitive outside of China, it\u2019ll have to find a way to be green.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The same logic sits behind the latest budget tabled by the Federal Government, which includes $22.7 billion for its \u201cFuture Made in Australia\u201d program.<\/p>\n<p>The budget item includes long term commitments to subsidise critical minerals refining and hydrogen production, criticised by Peter Dutton\u2019s Coalition Opposition as \u2018billions for billionaires\u2019.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019ve got $13.7 billion dollars of handouts to billionaires in production tax credits,\u201d Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor said on the 7.30 Report last night.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI mean that\u2019s not a restraint.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c$13.7bn is a massive spend. If you want to get those resources sectors really firing \u2026 you\u2019ve got to drive down energy prices.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou have to make sure you do the approvals in a timely way, not 14 years which is the average.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe want to see a successful manufacturing sector and particularly minerals processing \u2026 we strongly support having those sectors being strong \u2026 but the way to get there is to focus on the fundamentals not to throw money at them with subsidies.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Resources Minister Madeleine King noted today that the policy still needs legislation to pass before it can be put in action, including a $7bn, decade long commitment to establish a production tax credit for refining of critical minerals like lithium, nickel, rare earths and high purity alumina.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe need to make sure the programming and the processing, the development of this tax initiative is done right. And we\u2019re going to do that,\u201d she said on ABC Radio in Perth this morning.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI know that might be difficult for nickel right now, but there are a lot of companies mining right now that aren\u2019t processing yet, and this will drive investment into the processing side of things, and that\u2019s what we want to happen.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou can\u2019t flick a switch on this stuff overnight as much as we might want to.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe are sending a signal right now to investment and investors from right around the world to make sure they know Australia and in particular Western Australia is the perfect place to invest if they want to invest in critical minerals and rare earths and a green energy future.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/resources\/mission-critical-albanese-and-chalmers-budget-delivers-7bn-splash-for-critical-minerals-refiners\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">READ: Mission Critical: Albanese and Chalmers\u2019 budget delivers $7bn splash for critical minerals refiners<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>A late break-up<\/h2>\n<p>While BHP is trying to woo Anglo, another potential partnership has broken up before it even really got started.<\/p>\n<p>Ken Brinden\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/patriot-battery-metals-pmt\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Patriot Battery Metals (ASX:PMT)<\/a>, owner of the large Corvette spodumene deposit in Quebec\u2019s James Bay region, says it\u2019s free to seek downstream processing partnerships elsewhere after a nine month MoU period with Albemarle wrapped up.<\/p>\n<p>Charlotte-based Albemarle, the world\u2019s biggest lithium producer, took a near 5% stake in PMT via a C$109m investment last year, shortly after the release of Corvette\u2019s initial 109Mt at 1.42% Li2O resource estimate.<\/p>\n<p>Brinsden and his board are framing the conclusion of the exclusivity period in positive terms, saying \u2018enabling the company to fully engage with other downstream companies has been determined to be in the best interests of shareholders.\u2019<\/p>\n<p>The market ain\u2019t. It\u2019s shares have tumbled more than 8% since the news popped up.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s rough buddy. The materials sector ran 1.41% higher at 3.30am AEST as BHP\u2019s lift pulled the market up by its bootstraps.<\/p>\n<p>It was helped by higher copper prices, with Comex Futures in New York reported as much as U$1000\/t above LME benchmark prices, lifting above US$5\/lb today for the first time.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Today\u2019s Best Miners <\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/wa1-resources-wa1\/\"><strong>WA1 Resources (ASX:WA1)<\/strong><\/a> (niobium)\u00a0 +6.3%<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/metals-acquisition-mac\/\"><strong>Metals Acquisition (ASX:MAC)<\/strong><\/a> (copper) +5.7%<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/spartan-resources-spr\/\"><strong>Spartan Resources (ASX:SPR)<\/strong><\/a> (gold) +4.7%<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/arcadium-lithium-ltm\/\"><strong>Arcadium Lithium (ASX:LTM)<\/strong><\/a> \u00a0(lithium) +3.7%<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/zimplats\/\"><strong>Zimplats Holdings (ASX:ZIM)<\/strong><\/a> (platinum\/palladium) +2.8%<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Today\u2019s Worst Miners <\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/patriot-battery-metals-pmt\/\"><strong>Patriot Battery Metals (ASX:PMT)<\/strong><\/a> (lithium) -6.3%<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/core-lithium-cxo\/\"><strong>Core Lithium (ASX:CXO)<\/strong><\/a> (lithium) -5%<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/westgold-resources-wgx\/\"><strong>Westgold Resources (ASX:WGX)<\/strong><\/a> (gold) -3.5%<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/resolute-mining-rsg\/\"><strong>Resolute Mining (ASX:RSG)<\/strong><\/a> (gold) -2.7%<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>Monstars share prices today<\/h2>\n\n<p><span class=\"mce_SELRES_start\"><\/span>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>ASX 300 Metals and Minings Index today<\/h2>\n\n<p><span class=\"mce_SELRES_start\"><\/span>\u00a0<br \/>\n<span class=\"et_bloom_bottom_trigger\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/resources\/monsters-of-rock-and-today-on-bhp-watch\/\">Monsters of Rock: And today on BHP watch \u2026<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/\">Stockhead<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0 Anglo American\u2019s decision to demerge some of the same businesses BHP has already proposed to cull could play into the big miner\u2019s hands in <a href=\"https:\/\/economicherald.net\/?p=9684\" class=\"read-more-link\">[more&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":9685,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9684","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - 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