{"id":2725,"date":"2023-12-05T06:11:45","date_gmt":"2023-12-05T06:11:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economicherald.net\/?p=2725"},"modified":"2023-12-05T06:11:45","modified_gmt":"2023-12-05T06:11:45","slug":"closing-bell-local-markets-fall-into-pre-santa-sulk-just-as-rba-says-were-done-for-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economicherald.net\/?p=2725","title":{"rendered":"Closing Bell: Local markets fall into pre-Santa sulk just as RBA says we\u2019re done for now"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The ASX benchmark ends sharply lower on Tuesday\u00a0<br \/>\n9 of 11 sectors in the red<\/p>\n<p>Small caps led by Atlas Pearls<\/p>\n<p>Australia\u2019s share market was awful on Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>At match-out on Tuesday December 5, the S&amp;P\/ASX 200 (XJO) index was down 63 points, or -0.89%.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Via Google<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>At 2.30pm, the Reserve Bank of Australia left the cash rate on hold at 4.35%, as was pretty much expected. And all was well within the land.<\/p>\n<p>The RBA kept the OCR on hold, in line with expectations, but was less hawkish in its minutes than CBA expected.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Actual OCR: 4.35%<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>CBA expected: 4.35%<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Bloomberg consensus: 4.35%<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Christian\u2019s preferred OCR: 0.00%<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u201cOur central scenario sees the RBA commence an easing cycle in September 2024. We have 75 basis points of rate cuts in our profile in late 2024 and a further 75 basis points of easing in the first half 2025, which would take the cash rate to 2.85 per cent,\u201d said CBA\u2019s Gareth Aird after the announcement.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOur central scenario sees the RBA commence an easing cycle in September 2024.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Despite the new governor M. Bullock\u2019s recent hawkish rhetoric, the RBA Board also left their forward guidance unchanged from last month:<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cWhether further tightening of monetary policy is required to ensure that inflation returns to target in a reasonable timeframe will depend upon the data and the evolving assessment of risks.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Barclay\u2019s Bank said the minutes were \u2018less hawkish than November\u2019s and also less hawkish than we expected.\u2019<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe RBA\u2019s November forecasts bake in enough space for data surprises. This, coupled with the bank\u2019s data dependence, suggests low likelihood for further hikes.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Barclay\u2019s expect the next move to be a cut in Q4 24\u2026 \u2018but acknowledge the near-term risk sits with another 25bp rate hike.\u2019<\/p>\n<p>The next Board decision is February 6, 2024. \u2018Cos January\u2019s a holiday for the RBA Board.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2><span>ASX SECTORS ON TUESDAY<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The benchmark Aussie index fell sharply after paying a short visit to near three-month highs on Monday, losing its nerve ahead of the big RBA decision. Traders were at their wariest at around 2pm, when the index hit an intra-day low before the RBA dropped, and then climbed steadily on the relief.<\/p>\n<p>But mostly maudlin local traders tracked the Monday losses in New York as Wall Street put an end to its recent winning ways.<\/p>\n<p>At the sectoral level it was materials and energy stocks that copped the brunt of selling. That said, real estate and discretionary consumer stocks deserve special mention for backtracking well over -1%.<\/p>\n<p>Oil\u2019s had a shocker, too, and weaker overall commodity prices hit hard on the major miners \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/bhp-bhp\/\"><strong>BHP (ASX:BHP)<\/strong><\/a> (-2.1%), <a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/fortescue-fmg\/\"><strong>Fortescue (ASX:FMG)<\/strong><\/a> (-2.4%), <a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/rio-tinto-rio\/\"><strong>Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO)<\/strong><\/a> (-1.7%), Pilbara Minerals (-5%), Woodside Energy (-1.3%) and Santos (-0.9%).<\/p>\n<p>Elsewhere it was the big banks, the technology and consumer-related stocks that also suffered.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Servicing China\u00a0<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Caixin\u2019s China General Service PMI lifted to 51.5 last month, up from 50.4 in October and the fastest expansion since August, amid reports of firmer market conditions.<\/p>\n<p>New orders grew the most in three months, indicating that domestic and overseas demand improved, with new export orders up slightly for a third straight month.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, employment fell slightly amid relatively subdued demand conditions, while the rate of backlog accumulation slowed and was only marginal.<\/p>\n<p>On the cost side, input price inflation hit its lowest since June 2022 as rises in costs of labor and raw materials were limited. As a result, prices charged rose the least in three months and were broadly in line with the series average.<\/p>\n<p>Lastly, sentiment improved for the 1st time in five months amid hopes of rising demand at home and abroad. However, sentiment remained softer than seen on average since the survey began in late 2005.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>The national deficit <\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Australia unexpectedly posted a current deficit of AUD 0.2 billion in Q3 of 2023, reversing from an upwardly revised AUD 7.8 billion surplus in Q2, missing market expectations of an AUD 3.1 billion surplus. It was the first deficit in the current account since Q3 of 2022, mainly due to falls in key export commodities prices.<\/p>\n<p>The goods and services account surplus plunged to AUD 22.9 billion in Q3 from AUD 30.8 billion in Q2 due to moderating commodity prices, with prices of good exports falling 1.9%, mainly coal and agricultural commodities.<\/p>\n<p>Simultaneously, the net secondary income deficit increased to AUD 0.7 billion from AUD 0.4 billion. Meanwhile, the net primary account gap narrowed slightly to AUD 22.3 billion from AUD 22.7 billion in Q2, dragged down by a decrease in dividend payments by ASX-listed mining companies.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>And we\u2019re surely still watching gold\u2026<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Gold is soaring.<\/p>\n<p>The precious metal is ahead by\u2026 well it\u2019s a lot\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Trading on terror?<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>It looks like Hamas is perfecting its received financial windfalls following the Oct. 7 attacks on Israel after making bets on Israeli securities in the weeks leading up to the massacre that killed at least 1,200 people, according to researchers.<\/p>\n<p>In a report titled law professors Robert Jackson Jr. of New York University, and Joshua Mitts of Columbia University, detailed suspicious trading activity.<\/p>\n<p>The report details how so-called short sellers made risky bets against stocks that paid off.<\/p>\n<p>In one trade reported by the New York Post, an unidentified trader shorted 4.43 million shares in Israel\u2019s largest bank, Leumi, between Sept 15 and Oct 5. The move resulted in a nearly US$900mn profit.<\/p>\n<p>Just five days before the attacks, someone short-sold the Enterprise Investment Scheme (EIS), a security that gives investors exposure to Israeli exchange-traded funds through the MSCI Israel ETF, making around 227,000 short transactions against the exchange.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt is extremely unlikely that the volume of short selling on Oct 2 occurred by random chance,\u201d the pair wrote of the volume of short-selling.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Ahead of Monday trade in New York, US Futures linked to all 3 major US indices were lower:<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Via Fox<\/p>\n<h2><\/h2>\n<h2>TODAY\u2019S ASX SMALL CAP LEADERS<\/h2>\n<p><strong>Here are the best performing ASX small cap stocks:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Swipe or scroll to reveal full table. Click headings to sort:<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"supsystic-table-loader spinner\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"supsystic-tables-wrap \">Code Company Price % Volume Market Cap ATH Alterity Therap Ltd 0.0075 88% 225,480,015 $11,209,442 ATP Atlas Pearls Ltd 0.135 53% 12,511,750 $37,652,715 ADD Adavale Resource Ltd 0.011 38% 10,038,334 $5,842,954 BP8 Bph Global Ltd 0.002 33% 3,296,032 $2,423,345 FGL Frugl Group Limited 0.009 29% 2,078,286 $6,727,434 EDE Eden Inv Ltd 0.0025 25% 1,000,000 $7,334,027 KPO Kalina Power Limited 0.005 25% 500,000 $6,060,783 HAW Hawthorn Resources 0.098 23% 11,859 $26,801,249 GLV Global Oil &amp; Gas 0.0195 22% 69,607,822 $7,472,005 HTA Hutchison 0.04 21% 38,371 $447,892,783 EEG Empire Energy Ltd 0.205 21% 2,462,709 $131,430,595 ESR Estrella Res Ltd 0.006 20% 375,000 $8,795,359 RWD Reward Minerals Ltd 0.095 19% 768,978 $18,228,251 CST Castile Resources 0.077 17% 105,600 $15,965,560 AQX Alice Queen Ltd 0.007 17% 360,228 $872,952 BFC Beston Global Ltd 0.007 17% 1,774,059 $11,982,281 KNM Kneomedia Limited 0.0035 17% 650,469 $4,599,814 MOM Moab Minerals Ltd 0.007 17% 70,000 $4,271,781 POL Polymetals Resources 0.32 16% 31,838 $41,846,261 NSB Neuroscientific 0.055 15% 88,952 $6,941,034 NET Netlinkz Limited 0.008 14% 700,799 $25,322,699 NTM Nt Minerals Limited 0.008 14% 614 $6,019,320 SER Strategic Energy 0.016 14% 175,075 $6,801,412 SWP Swoop Holdings Ltd 0.25 14% 132,736 $45,805,966 LSR Lodestar Minerals 0.0045 13% 24,891 $8,093,589 <!-- \/#supsystic-table-13578.supsystic-table --><\/div>\n<p><!-- \/.supsystic-tables-wrap --><!-- Tables Generator by Supsystic --><!-- Version:1.10.30 --><!-- http:\/\/supsystic.com\/ --><a title=\"WordPress Tables Plugin\" href=\"https:\/\/supsystic.com\/plugins\/wordpress-data-table-plugin\/?utm_medium=love_link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">WordPress Tables Plugin<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>You probably didn\u2019t see this one coming.<\/p>\n<p>Tuesday\u2019s all you can buy stock is <a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/atlas-pearls-atp\/\"><strong>Atlas Pearls (ASX:ATP)<\/strong><\/a>, which notes that at its recently completed auction in Kobe, Japan, the company sold 130,000 loose pearls for total revenue of $14.81 million.<\/p>\n<p>ATP\u2019s total revenue from loose pearl sales for the five months ended 30 November 2023 is now just below the comparable revenue for all of FY2023 as shown below:<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><em>Via ATP<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Atlas Pearls\u2019 CEO Michael Ricci:<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe sales outcome underlined the continuing strength in the global market for south sea pearls with strong demand for the company\u2019s offering from both Chinese and Japanese buyers.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/reward-minerals-rwd\/\"><strong>Reward Minerals (ASX:RWD)<\/strong><\/a> has entered into a binding share sale agreement with the receivers at Kalium Lakes, to acquire the $400m Beyondie sulphate of potash (SOP) project for $20 million.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s a WA project, about 160 km SE of Newman and SOP is a compound commonly used in agriculture \u2013 in fertilisers.<\/p>\n<p>We recently reported this acquisition was on the table as a potential outcome, after the company entered into an exclusivity deed with Kalium and its receivers.<\/p>\n<p>This share sale agreement now represents the next step in an acquisition that\u2019s looking pretty likely.<\/p>\n<p>The company reports that the share sale will be on a \u201cdebt-free basis, free of encumbrances for total consideration of A$20 million, comprising a A$250,000 exclusivity payment previously made, upfront cash consideration of $14.75 million and deferred cash consideration of $5 million by 30 June 2025.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Reward\u2019s executive director, Dr Michael Ruane:<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAssuming that the proposed DOCA [deed of company arrangement] with creditors, shareholder approval and capital raising are completed, the Reward team are keen to move quickly on evaluation of the plant and flowsheet modifications and costs for potentially recommissioning the Beyondie project.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>TODAY\u2019S ASX SMALL CAP LAGGARDS<\/h2>\n<p><strong>Here are the day\u2019s worst performing ASX small cap stocks:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Swipe or scroll to reveal full table. Click headings to sort:<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"supsystic-table-loader spinner\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"supsystic-tables-wrap \">Code Company Price % Volume Market Cap T3D 333D Limited 0.007 -77% 33,336 $3,189,317 ICU Investor Centre Ltd 0.034 -37% 166,705 $16,372,694 ICN Icon Energy Limited 0.005 -29% 842,757 $5,376,096 IND Industrialminerals 0.81 -26% 1,863,169 $74,403,400 MTL Mantle Minerals Ltd 0.003 -25% 914,350 $24,589,783 SHO Sportshero Ltd 0.015 -25% 136,112 $11,500,022 SP3 Specturltd 0.015 -25% 789,200 $4,590,698 TSL Titanium Sands Ltd 0.01 -23% 4,666,967 $23,033,461 AYT Austin Metals Ltd 0.007 -22% 1,327,845 $9,142,872 H2G Greenhy2 Limited 0.007 -22% 1,363,636 $3,768,802 SLB Stelarmetalslimited 0.28 -20% 850,645 $18,167,774 88E 88 Energy Ltd 0.004 -20% 61,371,800 $110,593,275 ALM Alma Metals Ltd 0.008 -20% 1,992,353 $11,140,008 ASP Aspermont Limited 0.008 -20% 1,180,999 $24,387,637 AUK Aumake Limited 0.004 -20% 4,204,391 $9,295,367 CT1 Constellation Tech 0.002 -20% 16,356 $3,678,001 CTO Citigold Corp Ltd 0.004 -20% 2,252,513 $14,368,295 WEL Winchester Energy 0.002 -20% 183,000 $2,551,055 WIN Widgienickellimited 0.079 -19% 2,319,638 $29,198,615 PEC Perpetual Res Ltd 0.013 -19% 1,948,628 $10,080,471 MSB Mesoblast Limited 0.3175 -17% 13,779,940 $329,752,954 MM1 Midasmineralsltd 0.12 -17% 313,964 $12,578,351 AGR Aguia Res Ltd 0.01 -17% 2,239,122 $5,620,044 DOU Douugh Limited 0.005 -17% 240,858 $6,406,254 GTG Genetic Technologies 0.0025 -17% 2,834,204 $34,624,974 <!-- \/#supsystic-table-13579.supsystic-table --><\/div>\n<p><!-- \/.supsystic-tables-wrap --><!-- Tables Generator by Supsystic --><!-- Version:1.10.30 --><!-- http:\/\/supsystic.com\/ --><a title=\"WordPress Tables Plugin\" href=\"https:\/\/supsystic.com\/plugins\/wordpress-data-table-plugin\/?utm_medium=love_link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">WordPress Tables Plugin<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>TRADING HALTS<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/evolution-mining-evn\/\"><strong>Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN)<\/strong><\/a> \u2013 Capital raising comprising an institutional placement and a share purchase plan.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/indiana-resources-ida\/\"><strong>Indiana Resources (ASX:IDA)<\/strong><\/a> \u2013\u00a0 pending an announcement to the market in relation to the Australian Centre for Commercial Arbitration (ACICA) proceedings between Indiana\u2019s subsidiary Nachingwea U.K. Limited and Loricatus Resource Investments.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/invictus-energy-ivz\/\"><strong>Invictus Energy (ASX:IVZ)<\/strong><\/a> \u2013 Invictus is prepping an update on the intermediate wireline logging and fluid sampling results from Mukuyu-2 Side Track well.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/mrg-metals-mrq\/\"><strong>MRG Metals (ASX:MRQ)<\/strong><\/a> \u2013 Pending the release of an announcement to the market in relation to a Western Australia Lithium project acquisition and a capital raising.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/elixir-energy-exr\/\"><strong>Elixir Energy (ASX:EXR)<\/strong><\/a> \u2013 Pending the release of an announcement by the Company concerning initial drilling results from its Daydream-2 appraisal well.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/cohiba-minerals-chk\/\"><strong>Cohiba Minerals (ASX:CHK)<\/strong><\/a> \u2013 Pending an announcement by the Company to the market in relation to a material capital raising.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/future-metals-fme\/\"><strong>Future Metals (ASX:FME)<\/strong><\/a> \u2013 Pending the release of an announcement regarding the Scoping Study on the Panton PGM-Ni-Cr Project.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/emu-emu\/\"><strong>Emu (ASX:EMU)<\/strong><\/a> \u2013 Pending the release of an announcement advising results from its maiden reconnaissance field survey at its Georgetown Project in Queensland.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"et_bloom_bottom_trigger\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/news\/closing-bell-local-markets-fall-into-pre-santa-sulk-just-as-rba-says-were-done-for-now\/\">Closing Bell: Local markets fall into pre-Santa sulk just as RBA says we\u2019re done for now<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/\">Stockhead<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The ASX benchmark ends sharply lower on Tuesday\u00a0 9 of 11 sectors in the red Small caps led by Atlas Pearls Australia\u2019s share market was <a href=\"https:\/\/economicherald.net\/?p=2725\" class=\"read-more-link\">[more&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":2726,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2725","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Closing Bell: Local markets fall into pre-Santa sulk just as RBA says we\u2019re done for now - Economic Herald<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/economicherald.net\/?p=2725\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Closing Bell: Local 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