{"id":13383,"date":"2025-06-23T17:36:20","date_gmt":"2025-06-23T21:36:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economicherald.net\/?p=13383"},"modified":"2025-06-23T17:36:22","modified_gmt":"2025-06-23T21:36:22","slug":"uk-business-activity-picks-up-despite-middle-east-worries","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economicherald.net\/?p=13383","title":{"rendered":"UK Business Activity Picks Up Despite Middle East Worries"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">PMI edges higher as new orders rise, but job cuts deepen<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>British business activity expanded modestly in June, according to the <strong>S&amp;P Global UK Composite PMI<\/strong>, which rose to <strong>50.7<\/strong> from May\u2019s 50.3, surpassing expectations of 50.5. This marks the highest level this year and signals that growth, though weak, is continuing in the face of global uncertainty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The modest uptick was driven by a rebound in <strong>new orders<\/strong>, which rose above the 50.0 threshold for the first time since November. However, <strong>employment levels deteriorated<\/strong>, with firms cutting jobs at a faster pace due to cost pressures and soft demand. Elevated concerns over Middle East tensions also dampened business sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Services sector leads growth, manufacturing lags<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The UK\u2019s dominant services industry continued to outperform, with the <strong>services PMI rising to 51.3<\/strong>, its best reading in three months. In contrast, <strong>manufacturing contracted for the ninth consecutive month<\/strong>, although the pace of decline eased slightly. The manufacturing PMI rose to 47.7 from 46.4, still firmly below the growth threshold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe PMIs suggest the biggest hit to the economy was in April and things are now starting to recover,\u201d said <strong>Thomas Pugh<\/strong>, chief economist at RSM UK. \u201cBut the subdued level still points to near stagnation.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Outlook remains cautious amid tariffs and conflict<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Official data showed a sharp slowdown in April due to <strong>U.S. tariffs<\/strong> and the end of a UK tax break on property sales. The PMI survey\u2019s measure of future output weakened in June, reflecting elevated political and economic uncertainty, particularly in the Middle East.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Investor sentiment was fragile, with world shares falling and oil briefly spiking to five-month highs on fears of Iranian retaliation following U.S. strikes. The UK\u2019s PMI survey was conducted between June 12 and 19, overlapping with these geopolitical developments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Slowing prices raise rate cut hopes<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Price pressures continued to ease, with <strong>selling prices rising at their slowest pace since January 2021<\/strong>. This cooling inflation backdrop could support a <strong>Bank of England rate cut in August<\/strong>, especially with the headline inflation rate rising temporarily.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The report also noted that job losses were influenced by April\u2019s increase in <strong>employers\u2019 social security contributions<\/strong> introduced by Finance Minister Rachel Reeves, adding further cost burdens on businesses.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>PMI edges higher as new orders rise, but job cuts deepen British business activity expanded modestly in June, according to the S&amp;P Global UK Composite <a href=\"https:\/\/economicherald.net\/?p=13383\" class=\"read-more-link\">[more&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":13384,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[3788,3792,3790,3789,3785,3791,3786,3787],"class_list":["post-13383","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance","tag-bank-of-england-rate-cut","tag-june-2025-pmi","tag-middle-east-conflict-impact","tag-sp-global-uk-pmi","tag-uk-business-activity","tag-uk-economic-outlook","tag-uk-manufacturing-contraction","tag-uk-services-growth"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - 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