{"id":12182,"date":"2024-07-12T00:52:54","date_gmt":"2024-07-12T00:52:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/economicherald.net\/?p=12182"},"modified":"2024-07-12T00:52:54","modified_gmt":"2024-07-12T00:52:54","slug":"market-highlights-cpi-tells-us-fed-its-time-to-cut-and-5-asx-small-caps-to-watch-on-friday","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/economicherald.net\/?p=12182","title":{"rendered":"Market Highlights: CPI tells US Fed it\u2019s time to cut and 5 ASX small caps to watch on Friday"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>ASX 200 pointing to a higher start\u00a0<br \/>\nNVDA down 5.5% as lower US CPI triggers rotation\u00a0<br \/>\nS&amp;P500 has worst day since Easter, when only Jesus rose<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Aussie markets kicked off in the green on Friday morning, up 0.8% at 10.30am AEST, despite a knee jerk Wall St reply to last night\u2019s much-better\u2011than\u2011expected US consumer inflation (CPI) data.<\/p>\n<p>In New York overnight every mega-cap member of the Magnificent Seven went lower after June inflation literally screamed \u201c<em><strong>cut me\u201d<\/strong><\/em> to both interest rates and the US Federal Reserve.<\/p>\n<p>The response on the trading floor was an en masse rotation out of overdone US mega-tech stocks. The S&amp;P500 had its worst day since around Easter.<\/p>\n<p>US growth stocks were sharply lower as investors piled into the short end of the bond market after the US CPI came in well under market expectations \u2013 on both the headline and closely watched core measures.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s very positive on the inflation front and the bond market instantly rallied, much of the cash sucked out of the record breaking tech heavy Nasdaq, which copped the brunt of the selling \u2013 losing 365 points, or 2%.<\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 index fell 50 points or about 0.9% with the closing bell sounding\u00a0 a lot like the growing conviction that the Fed will now cut in September.<\/p>\n<p>Both of these endlessly butt-kicking indices finally broke a seven day win streak.<\/p>\n<p>Nvidia lost more than by 5.5%<\/p>\n<p>Meta Platforms crashed more than 4%.<\/p>\n<p>Apple gave up 2.3%.<\/p>\n<p>However, this is not necessarily bad news for <em>Stockhead <\/em>readers and other small cap fans. The Russell2000 small cap index added a hearty 3.2%.<\/p>\n<p>On Friday morning, CBA reckons a 25bp rate cut in tinsel town et al is now close to fully priced for September.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s all supportive for the local currency too.<\/p>\n<p>The AUD\/USD rose to close to 0.6800 in response to the inflation data but eased to 0.6760 by the time of writing, suggesting there is resistance at these higher levels.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEven so, fundamentals should continue to support AUD\/USD this year in our view. It is also likely the MOF in Japan intervened to support the yen with a large fall in the USD\/JPY around the time of time of the CPI print,\u201d says CBA\u2019s chief currency strategist and man on the money Joseph Capurso.<\/p>\n<p>US government bond yields fell sharply.<\/p>\n<p>In the EU, sharemarkets stocks rose on the optimistic inflation data and its thrill through Wall Street.<\/p>\n<p>In the UK GDP returned to growth in May with an expansion of 0.4% compared to forecasts of 0.2% for the month. In London, the UK FTSE 100 index rose 29 points or 0.4%.<\/p>\n<p>On the continent, the FTSEurofirst 300 index rose 11 points or 0.6%.<\/p>\n<p>In Paris, the CAC40 added\u00a0 0.75% on Thursday. Gains were led by Vivendi which jumped 5%.<\/p>\n<p>Check it out: Canadian stocks are at an all-time high with the TSX exchange closing at a record 22557 last night.<\/p>\n<p>Over the past 4 weeks, the Canada Stock Market Index gained 2.68%, and in the last 12 months, it\u2019s up 12.35%.<\/p>\n<p>Elsewhere, base metal prices were mixed on Wednesday. Copper lost 1.85%. <a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/resources\/bhp-shuts-nickel-operations-as-oversupply-ends-turnaround-tale\/\">BHP announced it was closing Nickel West due to oversupply in the global market for the EV and stainless steel metal.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>On the breakfast menu, the big agri-commodity losers were Orange Juice which lost almost 7%.<\/p>\n<p>Sugar lost -1.76% and Wool about-1.6% .<\/p>\n<p>The winners were Cocoa (5.57%), Oats (4%) and Wheat (1.74%).<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Looking ahead\u2026\u00a0<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>At home it\u2019s Friday and the macro measurements take a knee \u2013 and so should you \u2013 with no data releases scheduled.<\/p>\n<p>That said, in China they have Trade data for June. In the Eurozone it\u2019s more of these monthly CPI reports.<\/p>\n<p>But let the Europeans fall where they will, no time to dwell as Wall St Q2 earnings are kicking off tonight with the significant US banks like Messrs JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo\u00a0 Citigroup.<\/p>\n<p>Also in the states tonight, June Producer Prices (PPI) drop as does the handy Uni of Michigan Consumer Sentiment read.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>In other markets \u2026<\/h2>\n<p><strong>The Gold price jumped 1.75%<\/strong>\u00a0 to $2,414.67.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Oil prices \u2013<\/strong>Brent crude oil added 0.65% to $85.89 and West Texas added 1%.<\/p>\n<p>The <strong>US 10-year Treasury<\/strong> yield fell 7 points to 4.21% and the <strong>US 2-year Treasury<\/strong> yield was 12 points lower at 4.52%.<\/p>\n<p>The yield on <strong>Australian 2 Year government bonds<\/strong> down at 4.19% while the 10 Year yield was also down at 4.34%.<\/p>\n<p>The <strong>Australian dollar<\/strong> was at 67.40 US cents, up a smidge from its previous close of 67.39.<\/p>\n<p>The <strong>iron ore price<\/strong> fell by 1.7% to US$108.74 a tonne.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, in Cryptoland on Wednesday morning<strong>, Bitcoin and Ether <\/strong>fell BTC lost about 0.9%.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>5 ASX small caps to watch today<\/h2>\n<p>In some Friday <a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/maggie-beer-holdings-mbh\/\"><strong>Maggie Beer Holdings (ASX:MBH)<\/strong><\/a> news, the CEO Kinda Grange is moving on, \u201cto progress her career externally.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Maggie B says Kinda has agreed to hang around to \u201cassist in transitioning\u201d to the new boss. Chair Sue Thomas says the Board has commenced a transition process to a new CEO and will update the market of progress.<\/p>\n<p>After a massive Thursday, <a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/augustus-minerals-aug\/\"><strong>Augustus Minerals (ASX:AUG)<\/strong><\/a> \u00a0has slipped into a trading halt for a cap raise. One to watch after AUG rocketed some 160% yesterday following these rock sample assays:<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 35% copper and 236 g\/t silver from rock chip assays at Tiberius prospect.<br \/>\n\u2022 32% copper, 3.26 g\/t gold and 129 g\/t silver from rock chips from the South Snowy prospect<br \/>\n\u2022 10.1g\/t gold from rock chips from the Justinian prospect<br \/>\n\u2022 53.1 g\/t silver and 5,000ppm molybdenum from rock chips from the Claudius prospect.<br \/>\n\u2022 537ppm molybdenum and 47 g\/t silver from rock chips from Minnie SE prospect, 1.4km SE of the existing Minnie Springs Mo-Cu porphyry drilling area.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/galan-lithium-gln\/\"><strong>Galan Lithium (ASX:GLN)<\/strong><\/a> has dropped an update at its HMW project, with its in situ lithium mining inventory continuing to build with over 2,800t LCE accumulating in ponds. Galan says the overall project completion is close to 40%, project construction continues to advance \u201cat a pace commensurate with preserving cash\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>First production from HMW is now targeted for H2 2025, a bit of a bummer after previously flagging H1.<\/p>\n<p>We love a good Tugnsten story at <em>Stockhead<\/em>. This one features Toronto-based, triple-listed <a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/almonty-industries-aii\/\"><strong>Almonty Industries (ASX:AII)<\/strong><\/a>, whose wholly-owned subsidiary Almonty Korea Tungsten Corporation has signed an MOU with Yeongwol County in South Korea to secure the location of the Sangdong Downstream Tungsten Oxide Plant.<\/p>\n<p>Yeongwol is located circa 30km from the Sangdong Tungsten Mine and \u201cwill be a hub for high-tech industries utilising local mineral resources.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The MOU states that AKTC proposes to establish a factory of about 60,000 m2 within the Yeongwol County Opportunity Development Special Zone to produce refined and smelted tungsten, and tungsten alloys.\u00a0 Yeongwol County says it will provide \u201cfull legal and institutional support to Almonty\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>AKTC proposes to invest some 100 billion won (~$108 million) in the construction of the downstream tungsten oxide plant, and an additional 40 billion won (~$43 million) in processing plant facility upgrades required to increase tungsten concentrate production at the Sangdong Tungsten Mine.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAs a result, Yeongwol-gun will serve as an outpost for Korea\u2019s core industrial belt after facing a new era of regional economic development and job creation according to the mining and plant construction sectors.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/kingsgate-consolidated-kcn\/\"><strong>Kingsgate Consolidated (ASX:KCN)<\/strong><\/a> says it just keeps intersecting \u201csignificant gold\u201d in the high potential exploration prospects near Chatree Gold Mine; B-R, Kumpee and Chalawan and a new prospective area, \u201cNok Kaeo\u201d which is 13km NE of Chatree.<\/p>\n<p>Final assay results returned for the remaining 62 holes (for 9,312m) of the expanded CY2024 Phase 1 reverse circulation (RC) drilling programme have successfully identified new zones of near-surface gold mineralisation across Minyari Dome where results confirm high-grade gold mineralisation along the northern edge of the main zone of GEO-01 and at several areas within the broader 700m by 500m GEO-01 prospect area, with shallow, high-grade new intersections returned.<\/p>\n<p><em>At Stockhead, we tell it like it is. While Galan Lithium was a Stockhead advertiser at the time of writing, it did not sponsor this article.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/news\/market-highlights-cpi-tells-us-fed-its-time-to-cut-and-5-asx-small-caps-to-watch-on-friday\/\">Market Highlights: CPI tells US Fed it\u2019s time to cut and 5 ASX small caps to watch on Friday<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/\">Stockhead<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ASX 200 pointing to a higher start\u00a0 NVDA down 5.5% as lower US CPI triggers rotation\u00a0 S&amp;P500 has worst day since Easter, when only Jesus <a href=\"https:\/\/economicherald.net\/?p=12182\" class=\"read-more-link\">[more&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":12183,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12182","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - 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